Eric Schmidt says he's read the AI 2027 scenario forecast about what the development of superintelligence might look like. He says the "right outcome" will be some form of deterrence and mutually assured destruction, adding that government should know where all the chips are.

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TikTok 2:08 Oct 01, 2025

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Eric Schmidt says he's read the AI 2027 scenario forecast about what the development of superintelligence might look like. He says the "right outcome" will be some form of deterrence and mutually assured destruction, adding that government should know where all the chips are.

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Have you read the AI27 paper? I have. And so for those listening who haven't read it, it's a future vision of the US and China racing towards AI. And at some point, the story splits into a, we're gonna slow down and work on alignment, or we're going full out and, you know, spoiler alert, and the race to infinity, humanity vanishes. So the right outcome will ultimately be some form of deterrence and mutually assert destruction. I wrote a paper with two other authors, Dan Hendricks and Alex Wang, where we named it Mutual AI Malfunction. And the idea was, goes something like this. You're the United States, I'm China, you're ahead of me. At some point, you cross a line. You know, you, Peter, cross a line, and I, China, go, this is unacceptable. At some point, it becomes- In terms of amount of compute and amount of- It's something you're doing where it affects my sovereignty. It's not just words and yelling and an occasional shooting down a jet. It's a real threat to the identity of my country, my economic, what have you. Under this scenario, I would be highly tempted to do a cyber attack to slow you down, okay? In mutually assert malfunction, if you will, we have to engineer it so that you have the ability to then do the same thing to me. And that causes both of us to be careful not to trigger the other. That's what mutual assert destruction is. That's our best formulation right now. We also recommend in our work, and I think it's very strong, that the government require that we know where all the chips are. And remember, the chips can tell you where they are because they're computers. And it would be easy to add a little crypto thing, which would say, yeah, here I am, and this is what I'm doing. So knowing where the chips are, knowing where the training runs are, and knowing what these fault lines are are very important.

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